The Drone Strike That Was Predicted: On-Chain Data Reveals How Prediction Markets Saw It Coming
Hook: At 03:14 UTC on July 22, 2024, a prediction market contract on Polymark...
Law
•
Samtoshi
•
2026-07-22
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$64,648.8
+0.42%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,912.28
+2.13%
SOL
Solana
$75.36
+1.17%
BNB
BNB Chain
$573.2
+0.74%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.1
+0.13%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0727
+0.30%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1645
-0.30%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.67
-0.48%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.8183
+0.27%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.58
+2.13%
Event Calendar
202622
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
💡 Smart Money
0x0f6b...232f
Arbitrage Bot
+$2.8M
60%
0xc9fe...95e2
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$4.8M
80%
0x96e6...42c1
Top DeFi Miner
+$2.2M
69%
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Academy
•
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•
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Fear & Greed
26
Fear
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Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,648.8 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,912.28 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$75.36 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$573.2 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.1 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0727 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1645 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.67 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8183 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.58 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
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